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  • Peace and Stability in Afghanistan: The Role of Neighbours

    The security deficit can be filled to a large extent by Afghanistan’s neighbours if they can be persuaded to accept the responsibility, including by contributing troops to a UN-mandated peacekeeping force.

    December 13, 2012

    China’s Territorial Claim on Arunachal Pradesh: Alternative Scenarios 2032

    China’s Territorial Claim on Arunachal Pradesh: Alternative Scenarios 2032

    This Occasional Paper analyzes the Chinese territorial claim from futuristic perspective by identifying three drivers of uncertainty that has bearing on future Chinese behaviour, namely, Chinese regime stability and nationalism; the Tibet factor and internal developments in Arunachal Pradesh. Based on the interactive interplay between the three drivers, the author offers four alternative scenarios with regard to China's territorial claim in 2032.

    Murky Waters: Politics in the South China Sea

    What makes the South China Sea compelling is its global strategic significance both in terms of trade and energy, which has given rise to the strategic presence of a dangerous number of actors cast in multiple roles.

    December 11, 2012

    Expansion of the Karakoram Corridor: Implications and Prospects

    Expansion of the Karakoram Corridor: Implications and Prospects

    The Paper examines Chinese transport projects in Pakistan Occupied Kashmir in general and Gilgit-Baltistan in particular and their impact on local and regional economy and security. China and Pakistan are in the process of expanding the Karakoram Corridor in Gilgit-Baltistan which primarily serves the political and strategic interests of both countries with negligible benefits to the local people.

    Trespassers will be Prosecuted: China’s latest Billboard in the South China Sea

    The issuance of these ordinances will not only add to the growing tensions in the disputed areas, specifically the South China Sea, but also add to the growing suspicions about Chinese intent.

    December 08, 2012

    Egypt in Crisis: Learning the Hard Lessons of Democracy

    Egypt is realizing that democracy is not an easily procured fruit, especially in a nation where political movements have been suppressed for decades and peoples’ sentiments can be easily swayed either way.

    December 08, 2012

    Sectarian Violence in Karachi: Is Pakistan Closer to the Precipice?

    Unity of purpose and synergy between state institutions required to deal with sectarian violence is largely missing and, as a result, the Pakistani state is responding to the growing Taliban threat in Karachi in a knee-jerk manner.

    December 07, 2012

    In Pursuit of a Shield: US, Missile Defence and the Iran Threat

    In Pursuit of a Shield: US, Missile Defence and the Iran Threat

    The US pursuit of missile defence in order to counter and/or hedge against Iran's ballistic missile capabilities coupled with concerns generated by its nuclear programme has had significant strategic consequences. Iran on its part has pursued these capabilities as part of its asymmetric strategy to overcome its strategic vulnerabilities flowing from US encirclement, short-comings in force levels vis-a-vis neighbours and resource constraints in building effective conventional forces.

    2012

    Israel Confronts Iran: Rationales, Responses and Fallouts

    Israel Confronts Iran: Rationales, Responses and Fallouts

    This study examines Israel's changing perception of Iran and the underlying reasons for the current Israeli tension, anxiety, verbal acrimony and fears. In deconstructing Israel's fears vis-à-vis Iran, the study looks at Israel's failures to revisit its erstwhile peripheral diplomacy and to make adequate changes.

    2012

    Eruptions in Goma – Troublesome mandate

    The events of the last ten days have once again focussed international attention on the DRC and lent support to voices clamouring for a review of the existing mandate of MONUSCO and the larger process by which these mandates are concretized.

    December 05, 2012

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