Israel–Iran War: From Asymmetric Deterrence to Direct Military Confrontation
To confront the long-term Israeli campaign aimed at dismantling its military capabilities, Iran will likely seek to increase the resilience of its forces.
To confront the long-term Israeli campaign aimed at dismantling its military capabilities, Iran will likely seek to increase the resilience of its forces.
Israel’s July 2025 military intervention in Syria is motivated by an attempt to preserve the post-December 2024 territorial security status quo.
The Israel–Iran War has raised serious questions regarding the credibility of the IAEA and highlighted structural deficiencies in the NPT.
Multiple factors, including Egypt’s increasingly close ties with China, Russia and Turkiye, are threatening to derail the 1978 Camp David Accords.
Bahrain’s security partnership with the US, threat perceptions of Iran and cautious attitude towards Palestinian armed groups have shaped its outreach towards Israel.
Faced with geostrategic setbacks, a militarily assertive Israel and the incoming Trump presidency, Iran has prioritised diplomacy with both regional countries and the West.
The UK government’s decision to restrict certain arms exports to the UK highlights the supply chain dynamics that permeate the international arms market as well as the external sources of defence components/equipment of Israel, itself a major arms exporter.
Israel has intensified its military engagement on multiple fronts a year into the Israel–Hamas conflict.
The Israel–Hamas conflict has worsened Yemen’s political, security and economic situation, making the prospects for peace more tenuous.
Türkiye’s decision to suspend all trade with Israel from May 2024 has upended a significant economic relationship.