Africa’s New Leadership and Resource Nationalism
Africa’s new breed of leaders are renegotiating their role in the fast-changing world order with critical minerals as an important bargaining chip.
Africa’s new breed of leaders are renegotiating their role in the fast-changing world order with critical minerals as an important bargaining chip.
The strategic withdrawal of the United States from key energy initiatives in Africa, including the winding down of Power Africa and reduced support for Just Energy Transition Partnerships, has created a significant vacuum in the continent’s energy diplomacy. This retreat coincides with Africa’s acute energy deficit, where over 600 million people lack electricity access, primarily in sub-Saharan Africa. Russia has capitalised on this gap through its state-owned Rosatom corporation, aggressively expanding nuclear energy partnerships across over 20 African countries. Beyond addressing energy shortages, Russia’s nuclear diplomacy serves as a geopolitical tool to deepen influence, foster long-term dependencies, and secure strategic alliances. While Russia offers comprehensive nuclear infrastructure solutions backed by flexible financing and political support, challenges remain, including financing constraints, institutional capacity gaps, and safety concerns. Despite symbolic agreements and ambitious projects, the long-term success of Russia’s nuclear ambitions in Africa depends on genuine local engagement, transparency, and alignment with the continent’s developmental priorities amid growing competition from China and Western actors.
ECOWAS can reassert its role as a central driver of West Africa’s economic integration and political stability with sustained political will and coordinated policy implementation.
The Quad can offer a compelling, inclusive alternative to China’s mineral dominance through an Africa-centered critical minerals strategy.
Africa’s fragile health systems are being undermined due to withdrawal of US funding support to aid programmes.
India can emerge as a partner of consequence and help in Africa’s economic integration in the wake of the Trump tariffs.