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  • Syed Ali Zia Jaffery asked: Given the fact that both India and Pakistan are equipped with a nuclear deterrent, doesn't India realise the danger of Cold Start?

    Reply: Please refer to the following IDSA publications on the subject:

    A. Vinod Kumar, “15-Years after Pokhran II: Deterrence Churning Continues”, June 10, 2013, at http://idsa.in/idsacomments/15YearsafterPokhranII_avkumar_100613

    Ali Ahmed, “India's Limited War Doctrine: The Structural Factor”, IDSA Monograph Series No. 10, December 2012, at http://idsa.in/system/files/Monograph10.pdf

    Ali Ahmed, “Reopening the Debate on Limited War”, February 29, 2012, at http://idsa.in/idsacomments/ReopeningtheDebateonLimitedWar_aahmed_290212

    Ali Ahmed, “What Does Pakistan Hope to Achieve with Nasr?”, August 17, 2011, at http://idsa.in/idsacomments/WhatDoesPakistanHopetoAchievewithNasr_aahmed_170811

    Ali Ahmed, “Pakistan’s ‘First Use’ in Perspective”, May 12, 2011, at http://idsa.in/node/7464/3087#comment-3087

    Ali Ahmed, “Towards a Proactive Military Strategy: 'Cold Start and Stop'”, Strategic Analysis, 35 (3), May 2011, at http://idsa.in/strategicanalysis/35_3/ProactiveMilitaryStrategy_aahmed

    Ali Ahmed, “Making Sense of ‘Nasr’”, April 24, 2011, at http://idsa.in/idsacomments/MakingSenseofNasr_aahmed_240411

    Ali Ahmed, “The advantages of ‘Cold Start Minor’”, December 13, 2010, at http://idsa.in/idsacomments/TheadvantagesofColdStartMinor_aahmed_131210

    Sushant Sareen, “Cold Start as Deterrence against Proxy War”, November 22, 2010, at http://idsa.in/idsacomments/ColdStartasDeterrenceagainstProxyWar_ssareen_221110

    Ali Ahmed, “Cold Start and ‘The Sehjra Option’”, Journal of Defence Studies, 4 (4), October 2010, at http://idsa.in/jds/4_4_2010_ColdStartandTheSehjraOption_aahmed

    Ali Ahmed, “The ‘Cold Start and Stop’ strategy”, September 28, 2010, at
    http://idsa.in/idsacomments/TheColdStartandStopstrategy_aahmed_280910

    Views expressed are of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the IDSA or of the Government of India.

    15-Years after Pokhran II: Deterrence Churning Continues

    Fifteen years after the nuclear tests, it is relevant to examine if deterrence remains weak in South Asia or has consolidated towards greater stability.

    June 10, 2013

    India and NSG: Approaches to Indian membership

    India’s admission to the NSG has, as on the previous times when the India-US Nuclear Deal and the NSG exemption of 2008 were under discussion, caused many of those opposed to the Indian nuclear programme to come out with various policy suggestions on how to get India to agree on additional conditionalities. In addition there is a move by many to use the Indian admission for membership as a means to legitimize the illegitimate nuclear commerce between China and Pakistan. All these are predicated on the assumption that India is desperate to join the NSG. India should reject any move by the nonproliferation lobby to devise a criterion-based admission procedure.

    May 23, 2013

    Examining the Prospects of South Korea “Going Nuclear”

    In the aftermath of recent North Korean actions and threats, there has been in recent times some open debates and discussions about the prospects of South Korea “going nuclear” i.e. developing its own nuclear weapons. This brief argues that short of abrogating all its bilateral and multilateral treaties and obligations with heavy costs, the prospects of it doing so in the short/medium term are not that easy and may not be cost effective.

    May 01, 2013

    China-Pakistan Nuclear Cooperation: Unclear Facts

    There is a lot of inaccuracy and assumption in reporting Chasma 3 nuclear cooperation between China-Pakistan. It is not conceivable in engineering terms as to how a 300 MWe Chasma 3 can be transformed into a 1,000 MWe project.

    April 18, 2013

    China nurtures its nuclear nexus with Pakistan

    China and Pakistan reached a formal agreement in February 2013 to construct a third nuclear reactor in Chashma. This has caused widespread nervousness while making the NSG look weak-kneed.

    April 05, 2013

    Addressing Pakistan’s Atomisation

    Nuclear force development is at present an attractive means for Pakistan to attract international political and financial assistance, while salving the paranoias of its security establishment. Improvement in the state-society relationship could reduce the domestic appeal of endless nuclear expansion as other, more sustainable, resources become available to the state for building economic growth and security.

    March 08, 2013

    Impressions on China’s Second Missile Interceptor Test

    The second Chinese BMD test has a message for India: propel the development of long-range (exo-atmospheric) interception capabilities to mitigate the possibility of further asymmetry on strategic forces.

    February 22, 2013

    Why underground nuclear tests can no longer be peaceful

    Although PNEs were surrounded by ambiguity of intent from the very onset, retroactive measures after May 1974 have ensured that an underground nuclear test could be ‘peaceful’ only when conducted by or with the assistance of the superpowers.

    February 20, 2013

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