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  • Syria’s Unending Tragedy

    Syria’s Unending Tragedy

    Syria’s plight is likely to get worse before it gets better. More Syrians will be killed and the powers that be do not care.

    February 10, 2016

    Fallout of Turkey’s Shooting Down of the Russian Aircraft

    Turkey’s unprecedented military action raises two questions: What is the likely impact on its ties with Russia? And, what are the dynamics of a ‘Russia-West’ collaboration over Syria?

    December 22, 2015

    Russia and the Syrian Conflict

    Russia and the Syrian Conflict

    Syria is a long-term Russian ally, before and after the demise of the Soviet Union, primarily under the presidency of the Assads, father and son, and provides the only foothold to Russia in the Middle East.

    December 14, 2015

    Saga of Chemical Weapons in Syrian Civil War

    23 July 2012 was an important landmark in the Syrian conflict as on that date the Syrian Government officially acknowledged possessing chemical weapons. However, the spokesperson, Jihad Mikdassi, said that “any chemical or bacterial weapon will never be used – and I repeat will never be used – during the crisis in Syria regardless of the developments.

    July-December 2014

    The Fear of Syrian Chemical and Biological Weapons

    The protracted sectarian conflict in Syria has brought focus on its chemical and biological weapons capability. The West contemplated that the Bashar al-Assad regime in Syria might use chemical weapons to gain an upper hand on the rebels in case the conventional strength was weakened.

    January-June 2014

    The Crash of Metrojet 9268 in Sinai

    The air crash might prod the US and its allies to seek a political accommodation with Russia on Syria, and a grand coalition might emerge against the IS. But, even such a coalition will take long to dismantle the IS, assuming it were doable.

    November 13, 2015

    Vienna Conference on Syria

    The Vienna Conference was far from a gathering of powers with common goals. The key powers involved have yet to reach the conclusion that it is in their interest to end the multiple wars raging in Syria.

    November 03, 2015

    Russian Bombing in Syria: An Interim Assessment

    Russian Bombing in Syria: An Interim Assessment

    It is now abundantly clear that Russia has emerged as the most important player in Syria. With the US on the defensive, the coalition that Russia is forging with Iran and Iraq is likely to get stronger.

    October 27, 2015

    Turkey, IS, US, Syria

    Turkey, IS, US, Syria

    There is a sudden and dramatic change in Turkey’s policy towards the Islamic State. What explains this change and what might be Turkey’s calculations?

    August 14, 2015

    President Obama’s Policy on Syria

    President Obama’s Policy on Syria

    This is the right time to raise a fundamental question about Obama’s policy towards Syria: Is there a coherent, consistent policy, based on a reasonably accurate assessment of the ground realities in Syria? The answer is a definite no.

    November 18, 2014