Book

About the Book

This book is an effort to understand how the future will unfold in Asia 2030. It is important to examine whether Asian states will continue with the present pace of their economic growth or lose momentum and undo the change occurring today at the regional and systematic level of international politics. This book has addressed issues ranging from air-power, cyber security, climate change, ballistic missile defence to geo-political and regional issues pertaining to East Asia, South East Asia and South Asia. Based primarily on the method of scenario building, this book is an attempt to discuss the future of critical issues related to security and the international relations of Asia in 2030.

The book deals with the “Strategic Futures” in Asia, pertaining to issues of thematic significance, like future of aerospace-power, trends in the technological development of ballistic missiles defences, and the future of the internet. It also provides a vivid future description on matters of geo-political significance like economics, demography, water resources, nuclear issues, climate change and the environment, governance, and state relation. Given its wide expanse and insightful future analysis on issues of significance particularly to Asia, it attempts to fill some of the critical gaps in the domain of future studies in India.

This document is an attempt by a team of IDSA scholars to look at the past and present trends concerning some critical issues which will be of importance to determine the future. Scenario building exercise, within the limits of their understanding of the subject, is attempted to forecast the likely outcomes.

Contents

Forward
Introduction; Ajey Lele, Namrata Goswami and Rumel Dahiya

Strategic Futures

1. Future of Asian Air Power in 2030: Ramesh Padke
2. Ballistic Missile Defences in 2030: Trends in Technology Development: A. Vinod Kumar
3. The Future of the Internet: Cherian Samuel
4. The Future of Climate Change in Asia: Avinash Godbole
5. Envisioning United States Asia Policy in 2030: Sanjeev Kumar Shrivastav

Geo-Political Futures

South Asia
6. India 2030: With History as Guide: Ali Ahmed
7. Pakistan 2030: Possible Scenarios and Options: Harinder Singh
8. Scenarios 2030: A Long Term View of Hydro Politics in South Asia: Medha Bisht
9. Pakistan-Occupied Kashmir: The Future Trajectory: Priyanka Singh
10. Nepal 2030: Nihar Nayak
11. Tibet 2030: P.K. Gautam
12. Illegal Migration into India: Problem and Prospects: Anand Kumar

West Asia, South East Asia and East Asia
13. West Asia 2030: Drivers and Scenarios: S. Samuel C. Rajiv
14. Southeast Asia-2030: Pankaj Jha
15. Japan as a Normal State: Changing Trends and Future Projection: Pranamita Baruah
16. China 2030: Drivers and Scenarios: Gunjan Singh
17. Strategic Trends and Challenges in East Asia: Ishida Yasuyuki

Panorama: Ajey Lele, Namrata Goswami

About the Authors

Air. Cmde. Ramesh Padke is a retired Air Commodore and is associated with the Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses, New Delhi.
Mr. A. Vinod Kumar is an Associate Fellow at the Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses, New Delhi.
Dr. Cherian Samuel is an Associate Fellow at the Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses, New Delhi.
Mr. Avinash Godbole is a Researcher at the Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses, New Delhi.
Mr. Sanjeev Kumar Shrivastav is a Researcher at the Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses, New Delhi.
Col. (Retd.) Ali Ahmed is a Research Fellow at the Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses, New Delhi.
Col. Harinder Singh is a Research Fellow at the Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses, New Delhi.
Dr. Medha Bisht is an Associate Fellow at the Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses, New Delhi.
Dr. Priyanka Singh is an Associate Fellow at the Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses, New Delhi.
Dr. Nihar Nayak is an Associate Fellow at the Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses, New Delhi.
Col. (Retd.) P.K. Gautam is a Research Fellow at the Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses, New Delhi.
Dr. Anand Kumar is an Associate Fellow at the Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses, New Delhi.
Mr. S. Samuel C. Rajiv is an Associate Fellow at the Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses, New Delhi.
Dr. Pankaj Jha is an Associate Fellow at the Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses, New Delhi.
Ms. Pranamita Baruah is a Researcher at the Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses, New Delhi.
Ms. Gunjan Singh is a Researcher at the Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses, New Delhi.
Dr. Ishida Yasuyuki was a Visiting Fellow at the Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses, New Delhi.

Order Hard Copy

Please email us at publication [at] idsa.in or call +91-11-2671 7983 (Ext. 7303)

About the book

The Volume provides an insight into certain select documents that have shaped North East India in a variety of ways, the perusal of which would aid scholarship that is appropriately beginning to study the enchanted frontiers. Beginning with the Treaty of Yandaboo signed between the British and the king of present-day Myanmar on 24 February 1826, the compilation showcases various accords, reports and agreements that have been scripted for the region, an expanse that is crucial not only for India's national security, but also to the spirit of unity in diversity that characterises its prowess. The book would be useful to research scholars, policy makers and readers having an interest in the region.

About the Compiler

Jaideep Saikia is a terrorism and security analyst and an expert on North East India. Saikia has published over two dozen academic papers in various national and international security journals and has written or edited eight book on security, counter-terrorism and strategy, including Terror Sans Frontiers: Islamist Militancy in North East India and Terrorism: Pattern of Internationalization. An alumni of the Rashtriya Indian Military College, Dehradun, St. Stephen's College, University of Delhi and University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, USA, the last of which was an Ford Fellow. Saikia has also served the Government of India and Assam in security advisorial capacities and also a member of the Indian delegation for Track II Dialogue with Bangladesh in 2007.

Order Hard Copy

Please email us at publication [at] idsa.in or call +91-11-2671 7983 (Ext. 7322)

About the Book

The book is an attempt to highlight contemporary global issues and discuss them in the context of the role of India and New Zealand in dealing with those emerging challenges. An attempt has been made to put contemporary issues like multilateralism in Asia, global financial crisis, security aspects in the Asia Pacific, and the rise of China in perspective as well as discuss the nuances of bilateral ties between the two countries. The book explores areas such as regional peace and security issues. It also addresses the emerging challenges in different regional theatres of South Asia and the South Pacific. The contributors explore the emerging synergies in the context of promotion of democracy, a multicultural society, political pluralism as well as promotion of international understanding on issues like trade negotiations, regional multilateral networks, security and stability, and the role of the US and China in the region.

Contents

Acknowledgments

About the Contributors

Introduction

Section-I:Multilateralism and Asia

1. Evolving East Asian Institutional Architecture
Rajaram Panda

2. Grand Designs?-The Promise and Pitfalls of Asia's New Regionalism
David Capie

Section-II:Global Economic Crisis and Responses
3. The Global economy and Crisis: A New Zealand Perspective
Richard Grant

4. Global Financial Meltdown: Challenges and Opportunities for India
Indra Nath Mukherji

Section-III:Development and Security in Asia-Pacific
5. Perspectives on the Pacific
Brian Lynch

6. Emerging Political and Security Environment in South Asia
Smruti S Pattanaik

Section-IV:Security Challenges in Asia
7. China and Regional Security
Ramesh V Phadke

8. India's China Problem: Perceptions, Dynamics and Regional Security
Xiaoming Huang

Section-V:US Policy in Asia- Concerns and Challenges
9. Twelve Months of the Obama Administration's Policy in Asia
Mark G. Rolls

10. Engaging East Asia: Challenges before Obama
Rajaram Panda, Pranamita Baruah, and Shamshad A. Khan

Section-VI:Bilateral Engagement
11. India-New Zealand Relations: Perspectives from New Zealand
Rupert Holborow

12. Reconfiguring India- New Zealand Relations: Perspectives from India
Pankaj Jha

About the Contributors

BRIAN LYNCH
Brian Lynch has had forty years of experience in the New Zealand public and private sectors. Almost half that time was spent in the New Zealand diplomatic service, including postings in New York, Singapore and London. Subsequently he was the Deputy Secretary of the Ministry of Transport. From 1992 to 2003 he was CEO of the Association of New Zealand Meat Companies. In 2004 Mr Lynch was made an Officer of the New Zealand Order of Merit for public service and service to the meat industry. He is Chairman of the Refugee Services Aotearoa, Education Wellington International and New Zealand Horticulture Export Authority, a Government appointee on the New Zealand Meat Board. He is currently Director of the New Zealand Institute of International Affairs. In addition he is a Director of two private companies. Earlier this year Mr Lynch recently stepped down as Alternate New Zealand Member of the Asia-Pacific Business Advisory Council (ABAC), a position he held for five years.

DAVID CAPIE
David Capie is Senior Lecturer in International Relations in Victoria University of Wellington. He has done BA (Hons) LLB VUW, MA from Australian National University and completed his PhD from York. His research interests focus on conflict and security issues in the Asia-Pacific region, and New Zealand's foreign relations. He has authored or coauthored three books and numerous articles and book chapters. His research has been supported by the Rockefeller Foundation, the East-West Centre and the Royal Society of New Zealand's Marsden Fund. In 2007 David was a Visiting Scholar at the Weatherhead Centre for International Affairs at Harvard University. David's current research examines regional security institutions in the Asia Pacific region, with a particular interest in defence diplomacy and debates about norms and socialisation.

INDRA NATH MUKHERJI
Indra Nath Mukherji is currently Senior Consultant, Research and Information System for Developing Countries, New Delhi. Prof. Mukherji, a gold medalist, did his Masters (MA) in Economics from the Patna University in 1964. Later in 1966, he did his Masters of Science (MSc) in Economics and Administration from Loughborough University of Technology (UK). He had been with the Jawaharlal Nehru University. During this time, he served twice as Chairman, Centre for South, Central, Southeast Asian and Southwest Pacific Studies in the School of International Studies, and Dean, School of International Studies from 2001-03. Prof. Mukherji haws completed over 17 research projects sponsored by the Indian Council of Social Science Research, New Delhi, International Development Research Centre, Canada, SAARC Network of Researchers, South Asian Network of Economic Research Institutes, Indian Council for Research in International Economic Relations, and a number of national/international non-governmental organisations. He has served as a consultant/resource person/peer reviewer for ESCAP, World Bank, Ford Foundation, Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry, New Delhi, and a number of other governmental and non-governmental organisations.

MARK G. ROLLS
Dr. Mark G. Rolls is a senior Lecturer and Co-Director International Relations & Security Studies Programme, Department of Political Science and Public Policy, University of Waikato. Mark Rolls has an MA in Defence and Security Analysis from Lancaster University, and a PhD from the University of Hull. He has held posts at the Institute of South East Asian Studies in Singapore and in the Department of International Politics, University of Wales, Aberystwyth. He is the co-editor of Post-Cold War Security Issues in the Asia-Pacific Region (Frank Cass, 1994, 2000) and the author of The Arms Dynamic in South East Asia during the Second Cold War (Ashgate, 2002). He contributed the chapter on East Asia to New Zealand in World Affairs IV 1990-2005 and is currently working on a project on New Zealand's relations with South Asia for which he received a 2008 MFAT Historical Research Grant. Dr Rolls was a delegate to the eighth Shangri-La Dialogue and is a participant for New Zealand in the Track II process of political, economic and security dialogue in the Asia-Pacific region.

PANKAJ JHA
Dr. Pankaj Jha is Associate Fellow at the IDSA. He has done his PhD from the School of International Studies, Jawaharlal Nehru University and is an Economics Graduate from Delhi University. His areas of interests include India and New Zealand:Emerging Challenges Southeast Asia, terrorism, defence industry and related economic issues. He has presented papers in many international conferences/ seminars and has published more than forty research papers and articles in Strategic Analysis, Diaspora Studies, Indian Defence Review, Indian Ocean Digest, Dialogue, World Focus, India Quarterly and South Asian Politics. He has a number of Op-ed pieces in International Newspapers like Jakarta Globe and Gulf News. On the issue of terrorism in Southeast Asia he has written extensively, including issues pertaining to radical Islam and counter terrorism policies. He has also been contributing regularly in various websites on the developments in Southeast Asia through web commentaries. He has prepared two statistical digest on Defence Capabilities and Southeast Asia. He has also given lectures in Institute for South Asian Studies (ISAS), Singapore, Center for International Security Studies, Sydney University and has been a participant in Track II India-Australia and India-Malaysia bilateral dialogues.

PRANAMITA BARUAH
Ms Pranamita Baruah is a Research Assistant at the IDSA. She completed her MPhil from the Department of East Asian Studies, Delhi University. Her area of interest is Japan and North Korea, nuclear disarmament and nonproliferation. She is currently pursuing PhD from Delhi University on the topic of “Impact of Nuclear Disarmament and non-Proliferation on the Peace and Security of East Asia. Pranamita also went on a two-year Mombusho Scholarship to Japan to pursue research on “US-Japan security alliance and its Impact on East Asia.”

RAJARAM PANDA
Dr Rajaram Panda, Senior Fellow and Cluster Coordinator, China and South/Southeast Asia Cluster, at the IDSA, is a leading Japan specialist from India. Prior to joining the IDSA, he was ICSSR Fellow and Research Associate at the Centre for East Asian Studies SIS, JNU; Foreign Editor of Newstime Hyderabad; and Chief Programme Officer the Japan Foundation, New Delhi. He has presented a number of scholarly papers at national and international seminars and conferences in India, Japan, Sri Lanka and Australia on Japan's economic, political and strategic issues as well as on the state of Japanese studies in India. He is a frequent contributor to leading Indian dailies on current issues of India-Japan relations. He has published two books (sole authored), four (co-edited), contributed chapters to twelve books, and over seventy-five research articles in professional journals in India, Japan, the US and the UK. Dr. Panda was Visiting Fellow at Hitotsubashi University, Japan (1979), Australian National University, Canberra (1979), and Asahi Shimbun Foundation Fellow at Reitaku University, Japan (1992-93).

RAMESH PHADKE
Cmde R. V. Phadke (Retd) is Advisor (Research) at IDSA. Air Cmde R V Phadke (Retd) joined the Indian Air Force in 1964 and was commissioned in the fighter stream in June 1967. He retired from active service in August 2002. At the time he had worked as Air Force Member and Senior Fellow at IDSA for over three years. His areas of interest include: air power, national security and China's military. He is the author of the book “China's Power Projection Capabilities” (2005) and has also published many research papers including “PLA Air Force Shifting Air Power Balance”, a paper he wrote while visiting CISAC, Stanford University in 2001.

RICHARD GRANT
Dr Richard Grant is the Executive Director of the Asia New Zealand Foundation, a non-political, non profit, public-private sector foundation that aims to promote wider understanding in New Zealand of the countries and peoples of Asia. Dr Grant had a distinguished diplomatic career over 40 years working for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade in the Pacific, Europe, Australia and Asia. He is a former New Zealand Ambassador in Bonn and Paris and a former High Commissioner in London and Singapore. He has also represented New Zealand at the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development and held other senior positions including Deputy Secretary for External Economic and Trade Policy at the Foreign Ministry. Dr Grant received his doctorate at the University of Clermont- Ferrand, France. In 1999 he was a Visiting Scholar at the John F Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University, and in 2004 was a Visiting Fellow at the Oxford Internet Institute, Oxford University. He took up his position at the Asia New Zealand Foundation in January 2008.

RUPERT HOLBOROW
H.E. Mr Rupert Holborow took up his duties as New Zealand's High Commissioner to India at the beginning of 2008 and presented his credentials to Her Excellency Smt. Pratibha Devisingh Patil, President of the Republic of India, on 13 February. Mr Holborow, who is also cross accredited to Sri Lanka, Bangladesh and Nepal, has worked for the New Zealand Government for over 25 years - most recently in Wellington as 'New Zealand Senior Official for APEC' where he was closely involved in efforts to promote stronger habits of collaboration and cooperation between the 21 member economies in APEC. Mr Holborow has spent a good part of his career deepening New Zealand's links with Asia having served both as Deputy Head of Mission in Indonesia as well as, at different times, Deputy in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs' North Asia Division and Deputy in its South/South East Asia Division. In addition to this focus on Asia, Mr Holborow has devoted over eight years to the bilateral relationship with Australia - New Zealand's largest and most multi-faceted relationship - having served twice in Canberra; first in 1986-1989 and more recently as Deputy High Commissioner 2000-2003. At other times in his career Mr Holborow has served as Private Secretary to the Minister of Trade Negotiations and headed up the Ministry's Economic Division.

SHAMSHAD A . KHAN
Dr. Shamshad Ahmad Khan is Research Assistant at the IDSA. He was a Mombusho Fellow and was affiliated with Waseda University, Tokyo as research student during his fellowship. He has completed his PhD on “Political Debates on Amending Japanese Pacifist Constitution” and MPhil on “Japanese Constitution: Relevance of Pacifism in the Post Cold War Period”. His area of interest is Japan, India-Japan relations. He also takes keen interest in Pakistan especially its internal politics. Mr. Khan was associated with Radio Japan NHK as a programme monitor and content analyst. He provided his service to the NHK from February 1998 to March 2007. Prior to joining IDSA, he worked with Press Trust of India, a premier Indian news agency, as a journalist at its New Delhi office.

SMRUTI S. PATTANAIK
Dr. Smruti Pattanaik is Research Fellow at the IDSA. She earned her Ph.D. from the South Asian Studies of the School of International Studies of the JNU. Her area of specialisation is South Asian politics focusing on the role of military, politics of identity and dynamics of India's relations with its neighbours. Her current study focuses on “political Islam, religious militancy and the States in South Asia” making a comparison between Pakistan and Bangladesh, the two most important Muslim countries in the region. She has received a number of international fellowships. She was a Visiting Fellow at the Department of International Relations, Dhaka University in 2004 and 2007, Kodikara Fellowship in 1999 (RCSS, Colombo), and undertook field trip to Pakistan. She was a Post-doctoral Fellow at MSH 12 India and New Zealand:Emerging Challenges (Fondation Maison des Science de l'Homme), Paris in 2008 and was affiliated to the Centre for International Relations and Research (CERI, Science Po) and MSH (Paris) to conduct post-doctoral research on “Broadening Consensus in Fighting Religious Militancy/terrorism: Can Democracy in Pakistan Ensure regional stability”. She is the author of Elite Perception in Foreign Policy: Role of Print Media in influencing Indo-Pak Relations, 1989-99. She has published around 40 articles in reputed journals, contributed around 20 chapters in books, and delivered lectures on security issues both in India and abroad. Her recent publication include “Political Ascendancy of Religious Right in Bangladesh: A Case Study of Jamaat Islami” (Strategic Analyses, March 2009), and “Underlying Force: Religion Underpins Bangladesh's Politics” (Jane's Intelligence Review, February 2009).

XIAOMING HUANG
Xiaoming Huang is Professor of International Relations at Victoria University of Wellington, New Zealand and Director of the New Zealand Contemporary China Research Centre. Professor Huang received his PhD in international relations from the University of Southern California (Los Angeles), and MA and BA from Peking University (Beijing), and has been a research/teaching fellow at the East-West Centre (Honolulu); the United Nations University (Tokyo); the Woodrow Wilson Centre for International Scholars (Washington DC); the Centre for International Studies/Pacific Council on International Policy (Los Angeles); University of Tampere (Finland); University of Trondheim (Norway); University of Pittsburgh; Peking University, Academy of Korean Studies (Seoul), Seikei University (Tokyo), and International Institute of Asian Studies (Leiden). Professor Huang teaches East Asian politics, international relations of East Asia, and China's politics and international relations. Professor Huang's research falls in the area of East Asia's political economy, modern development of China, and international relations of East Asia. His publications appeared in International Studies Quarterly, Journal of International Relations and Development, Journal of the Asia-Pacific Economy, etc. He is author of The Rise and Fall of the East Asian Growth System: Institutional Competitiveness and Rapid Economic Growth (Routledge 2005), and Politics in Pacific Asia (Palgrave 2009). Professor Huang is currently working on a project examining the institutional dynamics of China's great transformation in the past 30 years.

How to order

Email us at publication [at] idsa.in or call +91-11-2671 7983 (Ext. 7321 or 7225)

Book Review

• CEU Political Science Journal, Central European University, February 2011
• Journal of Defence Studies, January 2011
• Institute for Security and Development Policy, January 14, 2011
• China’s amoebic God, DNA India, November 28, 2010
• Spectrum, The Sunday Tribune, November 14, 2010

About the Book

This book portrays how China's state transformation is taking place or moving without much notice through trial and error, which seems awfully cautious, balanced and systematic. Specially, it addresses the discourse of State transformation in China, contextualizing its progress and timely transformation in the military, civil-military, political and socio-economic terms. Scholars have tried to examine this discourse time and again. But again they have neglected to do that through “institutional” parameters. That means; literature is still lacking in identifying the changes in China’s systemic regime politics, particularly in military, civil-military ties, and economic terms at one place. Not many in India have tried to judge or identify China’s progress through its systemic transformation in institutional terms. Therefore, this study claims to be the opening of its kind from this region.

The bearings of this study are universal. It further intends to narrate how China’s systemic internal changes would manifest its external bearings and contribute to the discourse of the “rise of China”. China’s domestic conditions, it needs to be noted emphatically, contribute greatly to its external posture. This book has tried to highlight some of the emerging issues manifested in China’s overall State transformation. It has addressed the underlying factors of this change through military modernization, Party-military dynamics, regime politics, the regime’s process of taking decisions, and the complexity of the Chinese economic growth. How China is keeping a balance on many problematic fronts to pace its progress in a complex domestic order is in itself an interesting topic for study.

This year-long project in IDSA started as an attempt to examine the domestic order of China’s transitional politics. Separately, each chapter of this book has tried to offer a pragmatist assessment and granular insight into the particular issues they address in Chinese politics of State transformation, and identify numerous specific evolving dynamics worthy of policy relevance. The book seeks to argue about the emerging character of the regime and the nation-building approach through military and socio-economic means without upsetting China’s social stability. It is by no means an ultimate examination of all the transitional processes or discourses China is going through. But the analyses presented in this book reflect upon three broad, related themes in contemporary Chinese politics: political transition, nation building through military transformation and evolution of China as a State.

About the Author

Dr. Jagannath P. Panda is Associate Fellow at the China & South/East Asia cluster of the Institute for Defense Studies and Analyses (IDSA), New Delhi. This book is a research output of his year-long effort in the cluster. Prior to joining IDSA, Dr. Panda worked as Centrally Administered Fellow at the Indian Council for Social Science Research (ICSSR) of the Ministry of HRD, Govt. of India, New Delhi. He is a recipient of the V.K. Krishna Menon memorial Gold Medal for his excellent academic record in International law and diplomacy from the prestigious Indian Society of International Law (ISIL), New Delhi.

Dr. Panda was an institutional fellow at the Shanghai Institute for International Studies (SIIS), Shanghai from June 2009 to September 2009. He was also a visiting faculty at the National Chung-Hsing University (NCHU) in Taiwan from April 2010 to July 2010 under the NSC fellowship. As Associate Fellow at IDSA, he has worked as a lead member on various Task-Force projects from DRDO and Govt. of India on issues to China and Tibet.

Contents

Foreword by Prof. V.P. Dutt, Distinguished Fellow, IDSA
Preface and Acknowledgements
List of Tables and Charts
List of Abbreviations and Key Chinese Terminologies

Chapter I

Introduction
I. The Dialogue on China’s Transition
II. ‘Systemic Incrementalism’
III. The Current Study

Chapter II

The Discourse of Regime Politics and its Character
I. The Core of the Argument
II. Framing the Dialogue of ‘Hybrid Regime’
III. Regime Categorization and China
IV. Election as a Factor
V. Extra-electoral Factors
VI. Adjusting to the Demand and Supply Mechanism
VII. The Complexity

Chapter III

The Course of Making Decisions and Strategy
I. The Complexity of the Decision-making Process
II. Leaders and their Decisions and Strategy
III. Current Structure and the Process of Decision-making
IV. New Actors and their Contributions
V. Mark of a ‘Great Power’?

Chapter IV

Politics Command the Economy
China’s Course of ‘Privatization’, Tryst with Globalization and Transition
I. The Core of China’s Economic Success
II. Crux of the Argument
III. Contextualizing the Case of Privatization
IV. Mao to Deng: The Nature of the Economy in the Early Years
V. 1992 and After
VI. Complexity of China’s Privatization Course

Chapter V

Revolution in Military Affairs
China’s Approach to Fortifying its Comprehensive National Power
I. The Core of the Debate
II. China as a Military Power: The Context
III. RMA: The Key to China’s Military Transformation
IV. A Continuing Dialogue
V. CNP as the National Goal
VI. RMA as a Political-Military Notion
VII. Non-military Connotation of RMA
VIII. Military Budget and Technological Drives
IX. National Security Objectives
X. RMA, the Monolithic Military and National Security Objectives
XI. What Could it Imply for India?

Chapter VI

Civil-Military Dynamics
I. The Historical Accounts
II. Framing the Discourse
III. The Military in Politics
IV. Beyond Symbiosis
V. Hu Jintao and Party-Military Politics
VI. Hu Jintao’s Military Thought and Fourth/Fifth-generation Leaders
VII. Waning of Military Representation
VIII. Increasing Importance of the State
IX. Future Power Politics: An Assessment

Chapter VII

Conclusion

APPENDICES
A. China’s Current Top Leaders: A Backgrounder
B. Structure of the Chinese State: A Note
C. White Paper, China’s Political Party System, Information Office of the State Council of the People’s Republic of China; November 15, 2007, Beijing.
D. Influential (Select) Think-tanks in China Today: A Note
E. Recent Important Chinese writings and Views on India

Select Bibliography

Index

How to order

Contact: Pentagon Press, 206, Peacock Lane, Shahpur Jat, New Delhi-110049
Phone : 64706243, 26491568 Fax: 91-11-26490600
E-Mail: sales@pentagonpress.in Web: www.pentagonpress.in